Liga MX · Matchweek 10
Atlante
ATA
Monterrey
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlante35%
Draw28%
Monterrey36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.31
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession67%
42%Territory48%
14%From set plays47%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlante, 2 for Monterrey. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.