Liga MX · Matchweek 9
Monterrey
MON
Cruz Azul
CRU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monterrey42%
Draw27%
Cruz Azul31%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession53%
48%Territory42%
47%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Monterrey, 3 for Cruz Azul. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.