Liga MX · Matchweek 9
Atlas
ATL
Pumas
PUM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlas41%
Draw27%
Pumas32%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.32
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlas will have the ball; Pumas will not mind.
56%Possession40%
33%Territory39%
40%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlas, 3 for Pumas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.