Liga MX · Matchweek 9
FC Juárez
FCJ
Tigres
TIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juárez32%
Draw27%
Tigres41%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.50
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession46%
36%Territory36%
19%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juárez, 3 for Tigres. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.