Liga MX · Matchweek 9
Puebla
PUE
Atlante
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Puebla39%
Draw29%
Atlante32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.16
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Puebla get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession47%
47%Territory42%
50%From set plays14%
0.05Chance quality0.11
7.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Puebla, 3 for Atlante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.