Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 28
Pacific FC
PAC
Forge FC
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pacific FC11%
Draw22%
Forge FC67%
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.87
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–115.8%
- 0–214.1%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession53%
36%Territory49%
3.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pacific FC, 3 for Forge FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.