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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 28

Inter Toronto FC

INT

Atlético Ottawa

ATL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter Toronto FC31%
Draw25%
Atlético Ottawa44%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.70

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlético Ottawa will have the ball; Inter Toronto FC will not mind.

47%Possession55%
38%Territory38%
8.0%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter Toronto FC, 3 for Atlético Ottawa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.