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Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 28

Cavalry FC

CAV

Vancouver FC

VAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cavalry FC66%
Draw22%
Vancouver FC12%

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.65

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1015.9%
  • 2013.9%
  • 119.8%
  • 219.2%
  • 009.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession46%
44%Territory33%
6.2%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cavalry FC, 3 for Vancouver FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cavalry FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.