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Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 27

Cavalry FC

CAV

Pacific FC

PAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cavalry FC80%
Draw14%
Pacific FC6%

Expected goals

2.49 – 0.57

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

40%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2014.7%
  • 1012.2%
  • 3011.8%
  • 218.3%
  • 407.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession50%
44%Territory36%
6.2%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cavalry FC, 4 for Pacific FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cavalry FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.