Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 26
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX
Cavalry FC
CAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
HFX Wanderers FC18%
Draw26%
Cavalry FC55%
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.59
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.6%
- 1–111.7%
- 0–210.9%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession48%
30%Territory44%
6.1%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for HFX Wanderers FC, 3 for Cavalry FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.