Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 26
Forge FC
FOR
Inter Toronto FC
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Forge FC70%
Draw20%
Inter Toronto FC10%
Expected goals
2.04 – 0.66
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 2–014.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 3–09.2%
- 1–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession47%
49%Territory38%
6.2%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Forge FC, 4 for Inter Toronto FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.