Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 26
Pacific FC
PAC
Atlético Ottawa
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pacific FC23%
Draw24%
Atlético Ottawa54%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.86
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–36.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession55%
36%Territory38%
3.4%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pacific FC, 3 for Atlético Ottawa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.