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Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 25

Inter Toronto FC

INT

Cavalry FC

CAV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter Toronto FC15%
Draw22%
Cavalry FC63%

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.91

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0112.8%
  • 0211.6%
  • 1110.1%
  • 129.8%
  • 007.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession48%
38%Territory44%
8.0%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter Toronto FC, 3 for Cavalry FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cavalry FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.