Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 24
Atlético Ottawa
ATL
Cavalry FC
CAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Ottawa22%
Draw27%
Cavalry FC50%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.51
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–29.4%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession48%
38%Territory44%
5.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Ottawa, 3 for Cavalry FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.