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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 24

Inter Toronto FC

INT

Pacific FC

PAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter Toronto FC54%
Draw23%
Pacific FC23%

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.24

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession50%
38%Territory36%
8.0%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter Toronto FC, 4 for Pacific FC.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.