Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 24
Vancouver FC
VAN
Forge FC
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vancouver FC18%
Draw29%
Forge FC52%
Expected goals
0.72 – 1.37
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–117.3%
- 0–013.4%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession53%
33%Territory49%
7.7%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vancouver FC, 3 for Forge FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.