Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 23
Vancouver FC
VAN
Inter Toronto FC
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vancouver FC48%
Draw26%
Inter Toronto FC27%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.22
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession47%
33%Territory38%
7.7%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vancouver FC, 4 for Inter Toronto FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.