Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 23
Pacific FC
PAC
Vancouver FC
VAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pacific FC28%
Draw27%
Vancouver FC45%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.53
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
36%Territory33%
3.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pacific FC, 3 for Vancouver FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.