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Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 23

Cavalry FC

CAV

Forge FC

FOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cavalry FC38%
Draw35%
Forge FC27%

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.79

Over 2.5

27%

Both to score

36%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0018.6%
  • 1016.6%
  • 1113.3%
  • 0112.9%
  • 207.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession53%
44%Territory49%
6.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cavalry FC, 3 for Forge FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cavalry FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.