Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 13
Forge FC
FOR
Pacific FC
PAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Forge FC77%
Draw17%
Pacific FC7%
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.54
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–015.7%
- 1–014.6%
- 3–011.3%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession50%
49%Territory36%
6.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Forge FC, 4 for Pacific FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.