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League One · Matchweek 8

Mansfield Town

MAN

Leyton Orient

LEY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mansfield42%
Draw27%
Leyton Orient30%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.23

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.3%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.4%
  • 007.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.

46%Possession54%
40%Territory34%
24%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mansfield, 3 for Leyton Orient. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.