Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 18
St. Johnstone
STJ
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone29%
Draw25%
Rangers46%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.70
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession51%
36%Territory34%
15%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for Rangers.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.