Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 18
Celtic
CEL
Hibernian
HIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic60%
Draw21%
Hibernian19%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.17
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–08.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession56%
48%Territory39%
11%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for Hibernian.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.