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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 7

Seattle Sounders FC

SEA

Real Salt Lake

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Seattle Sounders44%
Draw26%
Salt Lake29%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.25

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.2%
  • 017.6%
  • 127.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession53%
43%Territory49%
14%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Seattle Sounders, 3 for Salt Lake. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.